Migration Processes Modeling with Cellular Automation

نویسندگان

  • Yuriy Shmidt
  • Natalia Ivashina
  • Galina Ozerova
  • Paul Lobodin
چکیده

The problem of interregional migration flows modeling is being studied. The conjecture that modeling household migration behavior at local level in view of community interactions and using cellular automata results in adequate forecasting of interregional migration flows has been numerically confirmed. A computer program was developed in order to implement the cellular automaton suggested in this study, which models interregional migration flows. Cellular automaton program was tested on Primorsky krai migration flows statistical data; a short-term forecast of the region migration flows was obtained.

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تاریخ انتشار 2016